feat(interviews): Delphi subagent (3 rounds: open, rate, revise) + convergence metrics

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
Christian Moellmann 2026-05-23 12:19:07 +02:00
parent 75762ccc18
commit 5d7111b54e
3 changed files with 262 additions and 0 deletions

View File

@ -0,0 +1,195 @@
from __future__ import annotations
import json
import statistics
from pathlib import Path
from typing import Optional
import yaml
from app.models.interview import (
DelphiOpenResponse, DelphiRatingResponse,
)
from app.services.interviews.base import StakeholderInterviewer, PersonaRecord
class DelphiSubagent:
def __init__(self, llm, memory, instrument_path: Path, language: str = "de"):
with Path(instrument_path).open("r", encoding="utf-8") as f:
self.instrument = yaml.safe_load(f)
self.interviewer = StakeholderInterviewer(llm=llm, memory=memory, language=language)
self.llm = llm
self.language = language
# --- Round 1: open questions ---
def _r1_schema(self) -> str:
return json.dumps({
"answers": {q["question_id"]: "<string>" for q in self.instrument["questions"]}
}, ensure_ascii=False)
def _r1_prompt(self) -> str:
lines = ["Bitte beantworten Sie offen:" if self.language == "de" else "Please answer openly:"]
for q in self.instrument["questions"]:
txt = q["de"] if self.language == "de" else q["en"]
lines.append(f"[{q['question_id']}] {txt}")
return "\n".join(lines)
def _r1_validate(self, raw: dict) -> Optional[dict]:
if not isinstance(raw, dict): return None
ans = raw.get("answers")
if not isinstance(ans, dict): return None
required = {q["question_id"] for q in self.instrument["questions"]}
if not required.issubset(ans.keys()): return None
return raw
def administer_round1(self, persona: PersonaRecord) -> DelphiOpenResponse:
raw = self.interviewer.ask_in_character(
persona, user_prompt=self._r1_prompt(),
schema_hint=self._r1_schema(), validate=self._r1_validate,
)
return DelphiOpenResponse(agent_id=persona.agent_id, round=1,
answers={k: str(v) for k, v in raw["answers"].items()})
# --- Round 2: rate themes ---
def _r2_schema(self, theme_ids: list[str]) -> str:
return json.dumps({
"ratings": {tid: {"importance": "<int 1-5>", "plausibility": "<int 1-5>"} for tid in theme_ids}
}, ensure_ascii=False)
def _r2_prompt(self, themes: list[dict]) -> str:
head = "Bewerten Sie jedes Thema nach Wichtigkeit (1-5) und Plausibilität (1-5):" if self.language == "de" \
else "Rate each theme on importance (1-5) and plausibility (1-5):"
body = [f"- [{t['theme_id']}] {t['label']}" for t in themes]
return head + "\n" + "\n".join(body)
def _r2_validate(self, theme_ids: list[str]):
def v(raw: dict) -> Optional[dict]:
if not isinstance(raw, dict): return None
ratings = raw.get("ratings", {})
if set(ratings.keys()) != set(theme_ids): return None
for tid, r in ratings.items():
if not isinstance(r, dict): return None
for key in ("importance", "plausibility"):
if not isinstance(r.get(key), int) or not 1 <= r[key] <= 5: return None
return raw
return v
def administer_round2(self, persona: PersonaRecord, themes: list[dict]) -> DelphiRatingResponse:
theme_ids = [t["theme_id"] for t in themes]
raw = self.interviewer.ask_in_character(
persona, user_prompt=self._r2_prompt(themes),
schema_hint=self._r2_schema(theme_ids), validate=self._r2_validate(theme_ids),
)
return DelphiRatingResponse(agent_id=persona.agent_id, round=2,
ratings={k: dict(v) for k, v in raw["ratings"].items()})
# --- Round 3: revise after seeing group stats ---
def administer_round3(
self, persona: PersonaRecord, themes: list[dict], group_stats: dict, own_r2: DelphiRatingResponse
) -> DelphiRatingResponse:
theme_ids = [t["theme_id"] for t in themes]
head = ("Sie sehen unten die anonymisierten Gruppenwerte (Median, IQR). "
"Bitte überarbeiten Sie Ihre Bewertungen, wenn Sie möchten, und begründen Sie kurz.") \
if self.language == "de" else \
("Below are the anonymised group values (median, IQR). "
"Please revise your ratings if you wish and add a short justification.")
ctx_lines = []
for t in themes:
tid = t["theme_id"]
gs = group_stats.get(tid, {})
own = own_r2.ratings.get(tid, {})
ctx_lines.append(
f"[{tid}] {t['label']} — group importance median={gs.get('imp_median')}, "
f"IQR={gs.get('imp_iqr')}; plausibility median={gs.get('plaus_median')}, "
f"IQR={gs.get('plaus_iqr')}. Your R2: imp={own.get('importance')}, plaus={own.get('plausibility')}."
)
prompt = head + "\n\n" + "\n".join(ctx_lines)
schema = json.dumps({
"ratings": {tid: {"importance": "<int 1-5>", "plausibility": "<int 1-5>"} for tid in theme_ids},
"justification": "<string>",
}, ensure_ascii=False)
def validate(raw):
if not isinstance(raw, dict): return None
ratings = raw.get("ratings", {})
if set(ratings.keys()) != set(theme_ids): return None
for r in ratings.values():
if not isinstance(r, dict): return None
for key in ("importance", "plausibility"):
if not isinstance(r.get(key), int) or not 1 <= r[key] <= 5: return None
return raw
raw = self.interviewer.ask_in_character(persona, user_prompt=prompt,
schema_hint=schema, validate=validate)
return DelphiRatingResponse(
agent_id=persona.agent_id, round=3,
ratings={k: dict(v) for k, v in raw["ratings"].items()},
justification=raw.get("justification"),
)
def extract_themes(round1: list[DelphiOpenResponse], llm) -> list[dict]:
text_blocks = []
for r in round1:
for qid, ans in r.answers.items():
text_blocks.append(f"[agent {r.agent_id} {qid}] {ans}")
schema = json.dumps({"themes": [{"theme_id": "<string>", "label": "<short string>"}]}, ensure_ascii=False)
messages = [
{"role": "system", "content":
"You extract distinct thematic codes from open-ended German fisheries survey responses. "
f"Return JSON ONLY matching: {schema}. Use stable theme_ids of form theme_0, theme_1, …"},
{"role": "user", "content": "Responses:\n" + "\n".join(text_blocks) + "\n\nReturn up to 12 distinct themes."},
]
raw = llm.chat_json(messages=messages, temperature=0.0)
themes = raw.get("themes", []) if isinstance(raw, dict) else []
out = []
for i, t in enumerate(themes):
if isinstance(t, dict) and "label" in t:
out.append({"theme_id": t.get("theme_id") or f"theme_{i}", "label": str(t["label"])})
return out
def _iqr(xs: list[float]) -> float:
if not xs: return 0.0
xs = sorted(xs)
q1 = statistics.quantiles(xs, n=4)[0] if len(xs) >= 4 else xs[0]
q3 = statistics.quantiles(xs, n=4)[2] if len(xs) >= 4 else xs[-1]
return q3 - q1
def convergence_metrics(r2: list[DelphiRatingResponse], r3: list[DelphiRatingResponse]) -> dict:
by_r2 = {r.agent_id: r for r in r2}
by_r3 = {r.agent_id: r for r in r3}
themes: set[str] = set()
for r in r2 + r3:
themes.update(r.ratings.keys())
out: dict[str, dict] = {}
for t in sorted(themes):
imp_r2 = [by_r2[a].ratings[t]["importance"] for a in by_r2 if t in by_r2[a].ratings]
imp_r3 = [by_r3[a].ratings[t]["importance"] for a in by_r3 if t in by_r3[a].ratings]
plaus_r2 = [by_r2[a].ratings[t]["plausibility"] for a in by_r2 if t in by_r2[a].ratings]
plaus_r3 = [by_r3[a].ratings[t]["plausibility"] for a in by_r3 if t in by_r3[a].ratings]
out[t] = {
"imp_median_r2": statistics.median(imp_r2) if imp_r2 else None,
"imp_median_r3": statistics.median(imp_r3) if imp_r3 else None,
"imp_iqr_r2": _iqr(imp_r2),
"imp_iqr_r3": _iqr(imp_r3),
"delta_iqr_importance": _iqr(imp_r3) - _iqr(imp_r2),
"plaus_iqr_r2": _iqr(plaus_r2),
"plaus_iqr_r3": _iqr(plaus_r3),
"delta_iqr_plausibility": _iqr(plaus_r3) - _iqr(plaus_r2),
}
return out
def group_stats_from_r2(r2: list[DelphiRatingResponse]) -> dict:
themes: set[str] = set()
for r in r2: themes.update(r.ratings.keys())
stats: dict[str, dict] = {}
for t in themes:
imps = [r.ratings[t]["importance"] for r in r2 if t in r.ratings]
plauss = [r.ratings[t]["plausibility"] for r in r2 if t in r.ratings]
stats[t] = {
"imp_median": statistics.median(imps) if imps else None,
"imp_iqr": _iqr(imps),
"plaus_median": statistics.median(plauss) if plauss else None,
"plaus_iqr": _iqr(plauss),
}
return stats

View File

@ -0,0 +1,9 @@
name: delphi_v1
version: "1.0"
language_default: de
rounds: 3
questions:
- {question_id: q1, de: "Welche drei Faktoren werden die deutsche Fischerei bis 2040 am stärksten prägen?", en: "Which three factors will most shape German fisheries by 2040?"}
- {question_id: q2, de: "Welche Akteurinnen und Akteure sind heute entscheidend, werden aber unterschätzt?", en: "Which actors are decisive today but underestimated?"}
- {question_id: q3, de: "Was sollte sich in den nächsten fünf Jahren ändern, damit die Fischerei eine Zukunft hat?", en: "What should change in the next five years for fisheries to have a future?"}
- {question_id: q4, de: "Welcher Trend macht Ihnen am meisten Hoffnung und welcher am meisten Sorge?", en: "Which trend gives you most hope — and which most concern?"}

View File

@ -0,0 +1,58 @@
from pathlib import Path
from app.services.interviews.base import PersonaRecord, MemoryDigest
from app.services.interviews.delphi import (
DelphiSubagent, extract_themes, convergence_metrics,
)
INSTRUMENT = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[2] / "scripts" / "instruments" / "delphi_v1.yaml"
class _Mem:
def get_digest(self, agent_id, max_chars=2000):
return MemoryDigest(text="x", available=True)
class _R1LLM:
def chat_json(self, messages, temperature=0.0, max_tokens=None, **kw):
return {"answers": {
"q1": "Klimawandel, Quoten, Generationswechsel",
"q2": "MSC, Aquakultur",
"q3": "Russland, EU-Politik",
"q4": "Verbraucherpreise",
}}
class _R2LLM:
def chat_json(self, messages, temperature=0.0, max_tokens=None, **kw):
return {"ratings": {f"theme_{i}": {"importance": 4, "plausibility": 3} for i in range(5)}}
class _ExtractLLM:
def chat_json(self, messages, temperature=0.0, max_tokens=None, **kw):
return {"themes": [
{"theme_id": "theme_0", "label": "Klimawandel"},
{"theme_id": "theme_1", "label": "Quoten"},
{"theme_id": "theme_2", "label": "MSC"},
{"theme_id": "theme_3", "label": "EU-Politik"},
{"theme_id": "theme_4", "label": "Generationswechsel"},
]}
def test_delphi_round1_open():
sub = DelphiSubagent(llm=_R1LLM(), memory=_Mem(), instrument_path=INSTRUMENT)
persona = PersonaRecord(agent_id=2, name="A", persona="p")
resp = sub.administer_round1(persona)
assert resp.round == 1
assert len(resp.answers) == 4
def test_extract_themes_aggregates():
from app.models.interview import DelphiOpenResponse
r1 = [DelphiOpenResponse(agent_id=i, answers={"q1": "Klimawandel", "q2": "MSC"}) for i in range(3)]
themes = extract_themes(r1, llm=_ExtractLLM())
assert len(themes) == 5
assert all("theme_id" in t for t in themes)
def test_convergence_metrics():
from app.models.interview import DelphiRatingResponse
r2 = [DelphiRatingResponse(agent_id=i, round=2,
ratings={"t1": {"importance": 3, "plausibility": 3}}) for i in range(5)]
r3 = [DelphiRatingResponse(agent_id=i, round=3,
ratings={"t1": {"importance": 4, "plausibility": 4}}) for i in range(5)]
conv = convergence_metrics(r2, r3)
assert "t1" in conv
assert conv["t1"]["delta_iqr_importance"] is not None